Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Arda Kardzhali
BUL1
Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv ran out comfortable winners over Arda Kardzhali 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 58% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 42%, shots finished 12-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - Cup on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 48%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5 went the other way.