Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.60/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.72
-46% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
23.11.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 4-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
18.02.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-2
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali got the better of Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Arda Kardzhali made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 63% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 37%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 39%, draw 29%, Arda Kardzhali 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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