Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.91/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.04
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.04.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
15.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-5 HT 0-3 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
08.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
26.10.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past Botev Plovdiv 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 45% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 55%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 3.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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