Cherno More Varna 2-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.12/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.00
+14% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
22.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
09.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
15.03.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
28.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
2-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna saw off CSKA Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 43% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 57%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 2-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 28%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
6 Dec 2025
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