CSKA Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.98/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.97
-41% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +65%
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
09.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
15.03.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
28.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
24.02.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
0-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Cherno More Varna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 63% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 37%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.67 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

CSKA Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 56%, draw 25%, Cherno More Varna 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 Aug 2025
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