Minnesota United vs St. Louis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v St. Louis — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United 3-2 St. Louis — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United edged past St. Louis 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Minnesota United had 44% of the ball to St. Louis's 56%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.62.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs St. Louis?
Minnesota United 3-2 St. Louis in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs St. Louis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 41%, draw 23%, St. Louis 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.