VPS 2-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 34% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.22
1/2
8%
22.65
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
8%
7.41
X/2
15%
4.81
X/X
15%
5.09
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
25%
2.67
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.43
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.9 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 483
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
26.04.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
20.09.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
01.09.2024 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.05.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
08.10.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 2-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
2-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
2.03 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 393
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS nicked a narrow win over HJK Helsinki 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 41% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 59%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.03 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 2.00 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of VPS vs HJK Helsinki?

VPS 2-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split VPS 24%, draw 28%, HJK Helsinki 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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