Valour 0-5 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

Valour
0-5 HT 0-3
Forge
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒23:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2026

Valour vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valour v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.98/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.21
+12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.4 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Valour vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
294 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.04.2025 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 Valour Valour KAPL
06.10.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
04.08.2024 Valour Valour 2-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
23.06.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
27.04.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
17.09.2023 Valour Valour 2-3 HT 1-1 Forge Forge CAPL

Valour 0-5 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
0-5
AWAY Forge
1.24 xG 3.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
416 Passes 376
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valour vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge swept aside Valour 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Valour had 52% of the ball to Forge's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.24 to 3.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valour and 1.67 for Forge.

What was the final score of Valour vs Forge?

Valour 0-5 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valour 29%, draw 25%, Forge 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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