Gwangju 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.22
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
13%
6.81
X/2
17%
4.77
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.0
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.90
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.1 Crosses 23.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
366 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2026 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.07.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
05.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
16.03.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.06.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 3-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 0.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Gwangju 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 28%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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