TPS Turku 2-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
3.94
Over Pick
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.35
No
39%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
20%
9.07
2-3
34%
2.44
4-5
30%
2.22
6+
16%
3.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
70%
-9.2pp
39%
BTTS No
30%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia The Market 22%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
2.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.99
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
431 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.06.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 HT 1-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
22.04.2025 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-4 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
24.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
2-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku squeezed past SJK Akatemia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, TPS Turku had 50% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for TPS Turku and 1.00 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

TPS Turku 2-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 62%, draw 20%, SJK Akatemia 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
22 Aug 2025
18:30 PK-35 ry vs JaPS Analysis →
18:30 EIF vs FC Lahti Analysis →