Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sevilla
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2026 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
17.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
16.03.2025 Sevilla Sevilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
29.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
PREVIEW Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Athletic Bilbao in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting. The price (1.75, near 57%) says the market is more convinced still.

Sevilla's away form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Athletic Bilbao against 0.83 for Sevilla.

Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Kick-off Time

Athletic Bilbao play Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/08/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla is a Athletic Bilbao win at about 50% probability, priced 1.75 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Athletic Bilbao 50%, draw 23%, Sevilla 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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