Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.54
Over
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.97
No
53%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.36
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.92
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.91
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
18%
5.48
X/2
16%
5.98
X/X
15%
3.66
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
5%
13.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Sevilla The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 36%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.16
1.29 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.16
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.1 Crosses 19.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
392 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
16.03.2025 Sevilla Sevilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
29.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
27.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
2-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 245
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
REVIEW Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sevilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Sevilla's favour, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Sevilla against 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao.

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score

Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 39%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
24 Jan 2026
16:00 Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Analysis →
18:15 Valencia vs Espanyol Analysis →
23:00 Villarreal vs Real Madrid Analysis →