Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Jan 2026

Villarreal
0-2 HT 0-0
Real Madrid
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.61
Over
66%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
67%
1.4
No
33%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
16%
5.85
2-3
39%
2.07
4-5
31%
2.55
6+
14%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.33
1/2 ✗
11%
19.65
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
12%
8.45
X/2
13%
5.05
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.43
2/X
4%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.65 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Villarreal v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Villarreal The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid The Market 54%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.65 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.78
2.01 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.20
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.0 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Madrid
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.30 xG 1.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
387 Passes 564
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
27 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
15.03.2025 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
05.10.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
19.05.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 4-4 HT 1-4 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
17.12.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
08.04.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-3 HT 1-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1

Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid
0.61 xG 1.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
311 Passes 483
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Villarreal vs Real Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Madrid had too much for Villarreal 2-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Real Madrid saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.61 to 1.63.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Villarreal against 2.83 for Real Madrid.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score

Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 33%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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