Valencia 3-2 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.62
Over
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.54
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
16%
4.48
6+
9%
23.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.54 — our 34% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.57
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.19
X/X
17%
3.96
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.67
2/X
6%
13.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Valencia The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol The Market 34%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.35 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.23
0.74 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.12
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.6 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Espanyol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
385 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
22.04.2025 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
18.12.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
28.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
02.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.05.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
3-2
AWAY Espanyol
2.35 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
267 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Valencia vs Espanyol
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valencia shaded a tight game against Espanyol 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valencia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 2.35 to 1.41.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Valencia against 1.50 for Espanyol.

Valencia vs Espanyol Result & Final Score

Valencia 3-2 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valencia vs Espanyol Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valencia 42%, draw 30%, Espanyol 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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