Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna beat Rayo Vallecano 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned Rayo Vallecano at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 67% of the ball to Osasuna's 33%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.22.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.17 for Osasuna.
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 43%, draw 32%, Osasuna 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.