Parma vs Cagliari Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 22 Aug 2026

Parma
vs
Cagliari
📅22/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Italy - Serie A – 2026/2027

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Parma v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Parma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cagliari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2026 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
13.09.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
09.02.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
30.09.2024 Parma Parma 2-3 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
03.06.2023 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
30.05.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 0-2 Parma Parma İTB
PREVIEW Parma vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Parma nor Cagliari earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Parma's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parma and 1.83 for Cagliari.

Parma vs Cagliari Kick-off Time

Parma play Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 22/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Parma vs Cagliari Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Parma vs Cagliari is a Parma win at about 40% probability, priced 2.38 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Parma 40%, draw 31%, Cagliari 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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