Genoa vs Napoli Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 22 Aug 2026

Genoa
vs
Napoli
📅22/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Italy - Serie A – 2026/2027

Genoa vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Genoa v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Genoa vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Napoli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.51
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 497
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2026 Genoa Genoa 2-3 HT 1-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
05.10.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
11.05.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-2 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
21.12.2024 Genoa Genoa 1-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.02.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
16.09.2023 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
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Napoli hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Genoa against 2.00 for Napoli.

Genoa vs Napoli Kick-off Time

Genoa play Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 22/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Genoa vs Napoli Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Genoa vs Napoli is an Napoli win at about 49% probability, priced 1.83 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Genoa 26%, draw 25%, Napoli 49%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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