Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2W-0D-4L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 2.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
267 Passes 446
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2026 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
21.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-3 HT 2-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
23.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
06.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
17.02.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
01.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
PREVIEW Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to AZ Alkmaar in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting. Bookmakers are even firmer: 1.62 implies roughly 62%.

Fortuna Sittard's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.00 for AZ Alkmaar.

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Kick-off Time

Fortuna Sittard play AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar is an AZ Alkmaar win at about 54% probability, priced 1.62 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Fortuna Sittard 23%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar 54%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2026
19:45 Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht Analysis →
22:00 Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →