Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
11%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12.03.2026 Motagua Motagua 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
28.11.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
14.09.2025 Motagua Motagua 3-3 HT 1-2 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
08.04.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 2-1 Motagua Motagua HON
07.02.2025 Motagua Motagua 5-0 HT 3-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
29.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
PREVIEW Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Motagua start as strong favourites on our numbers; Lobos UPNFM's job is to make the game ugly early.

Lobos UPNFM have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Motagua against 0.83 for Lobos UPNFM.

Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Kick-off Time

Motagua play Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM is a Motagua win at about 63% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Motagua 63%, draw 26%, Lobos UPNFM 12%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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