Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
2W-4D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
293 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
27.04.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
25.10.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-2 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
02.08.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
01.06.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
PREVIEW Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

BFC Daugavpils edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Super Nova's home form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league, while BFC Daugavpils's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Super Nova have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Super Nova against 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Kick-off Time

Super Nova play BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/08/2026, kick-off 15:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils is an BFC Daugavpils win at about 49% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Super Nova 28%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 49%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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