Leon vs Monterrey Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 22 Aug 2026

Leon
vs
Monterrey
📅22/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Leon vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Leon v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
🔒
Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Season & Recent Form vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored and conceded
  • Attack & Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
Register to Unlock

Leon vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2026 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
12.08.2025 Leon Leon 1-3 HT 0-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
21.04.2025 Leon Leon 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
11.11.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
21.04.2024 Leon Leon 2-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
17.09.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
PREVIEW Leon vs Monterrey
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split Leon and Monterrey in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Leon's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leon and 1.83 for Monterrey.

Leon vs Monterrey Kick-off Time

Leon play Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 22/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Leon vs Monterrey Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Leon vs Monterrey is an Monterrey win at about 42% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Leon 32%, draw 26%, Monterrey 42%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
22 Aug 2026
04:00 Tigres vs Atlante Analysis →
06:00 FC Juarez vs Club America Analysis →
06:10 Queretaro vs Toluca Analysis →