Academica 1-1 Atlético Arcos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Arcos EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-72% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-1
AWAY Atlético Arcos
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs Atlético Arcos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Atlético Arcos shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Atlético Arcos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Academica had 56% of the ball to Atlético Arcos's 44%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Academica vs Atlético Arcos?

Academica 1-1 Atlético Arcos in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Atlético Arcos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlético Arcos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Academica 33%, draw 26%, Atlético Arcos 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlético Arcos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlético Arcos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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