Varzim 3-0 Ferreiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-12.2pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferreiras EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.66
-31% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +70%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
462 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 7.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
3-0
AWAY Ferreiras
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Ferreiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim cruised past Ferreiras 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Varzim had 61% of the ball to Ferreiras's 39%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Ferreiras?

Varzim 3-0 Ferreiras in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Ferreiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Varzim 67%, draw 17%, Ferreiras 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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