Peniche 0-2 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

Peniche
0-2
Paços De Ferreira
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2024/2025

Peniche vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peniche v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peniche EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 64%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.38
+74% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / -41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.8

Peniche 0-2 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peniche
0-2
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peniche vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira saw off Peniche 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paços De Ferreira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peniche had 33% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 67%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Peniche vs Paços De Ferreira?

Peniche 0-2 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peniche vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Peniche 23%, draw 22%, Paços De Ferreira 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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