Atletico CP 3-0 Mortagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

Atletico CP
3-0
Mortagua
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Atletico CP vs Mortagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico CP v Mortagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mortagua EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Mortagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP cruised past Mortagua 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Mortagua?

Atletico CP 3-0 Mortagua in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Mortagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 49%, draw 25%, Mortagua 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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