JD Lajense 2-1 Fabril Barreiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

JD Lajense
2-1
Fabril Barreiro
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

JD Lajense vs Fabril Barreiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JD Lajense v Fabril Barreiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JD Lajense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fabril Barreiro EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH JD Lajense vs Fabril Barreiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JD Lajense squeezed past Fabril Barreiro 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; JD Lajense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of JD Lajense vs Fabril Barreiro?

JD Lajense 2-1 Fabril Barreiro in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JD Lajense vs Fabril Barreiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a JD Lajense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split JD Lajense 39%, draw 29%, Fabril Barreiro 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JD Lajense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JD Lajense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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