Lagoa 2-0 U. Coimbra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lagoa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Coimbra EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lagoa
2-0
AWAY U. Coimbra
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lagoa vs U. Coimbra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lagoa beat U. Coimbra 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lagoa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lagoa had 36% of the ball to U. Coimbra's 64%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Lagoa vs U. Coimbra?

Lagoa 2-0 U. Coimbra in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lagoa vs U. Coimbra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lagoa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lagoa 42%, draw 32%, U. Coimbra 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lagoa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lagoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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