Coimbroes vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coimbroes v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Coimbroes 2-3 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca nicked a narrow win over Coimbroes 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Coimbroes had 46% of the ball to Alverca's 54%, shots finished 12-16.
What was the final score of Coimbroes vs Alverca?
Coimbroes 2-3 Alverca in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coimbroes vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Coimbroes 21%, draw 20%, Alverca 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.