Alcains vs CF Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcains v CF Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Alcains 4-1 CF Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Alcains cruised past CF Benfica 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alcains as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Alcains had 49% of the ball to CF Benfica's 51%, shots finished 15-17.
What was the final score of Alcains vs CF Benfica?
Alcains 4-1 CF Benfica in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcains vs CF Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcains win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alcains 44%, draw 29%, CF Benfica 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcains), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.