Alpendorada vs Sertanense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alpendorada v Sertanense — Team-Based Signals
Alpendorada 3-0 Sertanense — Actual Match Statistics
Alpendorada ran out comfortable winners over Sertanense 3-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alpendorada found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Alpendorada had 49% of the ball to Sertanense's 51%, shots finished 12-6.
What was the final score of Alpendorada vs Sertanense?
Alpendorada 3-0 Sertanense in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alpendorada vs Sertanense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alpendorada win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alpendorada 38%, draw 28%, Sertanense 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alpendorada), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.