Arronches 0-1 Vila Real — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arronches EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Real EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arronches
0-1
AWAY Vila Real
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arronches vs Vila Real
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Real edged past Arronches 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Vila Real made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arronches had 60% of the ball to Vila Real's 40%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Arronches vs Vila Real?

Arronches 0-1 Vila Real in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arronches vs Vila Real?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arronches win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arronches 38%, draw 26%, Vila Real 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arronches) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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