Lusitania vs Régua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania v Régua — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania 2-1 Régua — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania squeezed past Régua 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lusitania had 63% of the ball to Régua's 37%, shots finished 9-8.
What was the final score of Lusitania vs Régua?
Lusitania 2-1 Régua in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Régua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 57%, draw 20%, Régua 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.