Harrogate Town 0-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.66
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
10%
8.92
X/2
19%
3.69
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.29
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.16/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.61
+34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.0 Crosses 23.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Port Vale
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.70 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
220 Passes 218
61% Pass Accuracy 60%
14 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
18.09.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
05.04.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
26.09.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
0-1
AWAY Port Vale
0.90 xG 1.29
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
177 Passes 527
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale edged past Harrogate Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 29% of the ball to Port Vale's 71%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.90 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.25 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Port Vale?

Harrogate Town 0-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 24%, draw 25%, Port Vale 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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