Schwaben Augsburg 0-3 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
0.65/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.06
-60% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II ran out comfortable winners over Schwaben Augsburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Nürnberg II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Nürnberg II?

Schwaben Augsburg 0-3 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 39%, draw 21%, Nürnberg II 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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