Mazatlan 2-2 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
15%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.41/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.52
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
16.8 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
26.10.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
26.02.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
24.11.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.11.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-1 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
21.01.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-2
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.65 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
241 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Santos Laguna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Mazatlan had 51% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.65 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mazatlan and 1.17 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna?

Mazatlan 2-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 45%, draw 24%, Santos Laguna 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mazatlan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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