Club America vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-0
Puebla
MEK
5-1
HT 2-1
Puebla
MEK
Club America 2-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Club America edged past Puebla 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Club America had 62% of the ball to Puebla's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Club America vs Puebla?
Club America 2-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Club America 71%, draw 17%, Puebla 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.