Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 1-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa and Cruz Azul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Necaxa had 40% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 60%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?
Necaxa 1-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 35%, draw 25%, Cruz Azul 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.