Orihuela 2-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.61
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
35%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
0.98/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.73
-6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orihuela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
2-1
AWAY CD Aguilas
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela nicked a narrow win over CD Aguilas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Orihuela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orihuela had 39% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 61%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs CD Aguilas?

Orihuela 2-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 34%, draw 30%, CD Aguilas 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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