Izarra vs Utebo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Izarra v Utebo — Team-Based Signals
Izarra vs Utebo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Utebo
İS4
0-2
HT 0-1
Utebo
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Izarra
İS4
Izarra 0-1 Utebo — Actual Match Statistics
Utebo edged past Izarra 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Utebo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Izarra had 57% of the ball to Utebo's 43%, shots finished 12-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utebo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Izarra and 2.00 for Utebo.
What was the final score of Izarra vs Utebo?
Izarra 0-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Izarra vs Utebo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Izarra 31%, draw 32%, Utebo 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.