Pontevedra 1-0 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.82
Over 2.5
36%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+13.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-13.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.5pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.21/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.21
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
485 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Coruxo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
18.02.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-1 HT 3-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
08.10.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
20.03.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
31.10.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
14.03.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 2-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-0
AWAY Coruxo
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Coruxo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pontevedra had 71% of the ball to Coruxo's 29%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Pontevedra and 0.67 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Coruxo?

Pontevedra 1-0 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 60%, draw 25%, Coruxo 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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