SS Monopoli vs Casertana Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SS Monopoli v Casertana — Team-Based Signals
SS Monopoli vs Casertana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
SS Monopoli
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Casertana
İTC
2-1
HT 2-1
SS Monopoli
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Casertana
İTC
SS Monopoli 1-0 Casertana — Actual Match Statistics
SS Monopoli squeezed past Casertana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; SS Monopoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, SS Monopoli had 53% of the ball to Casertana's 47%, shots finished 9-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.17 for Casertana.
What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Casertana?
SS Monopoli 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Casertana?
Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 39%, draw 27%, Casertana 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.