Virtus Verona 1-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.27/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.23
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Lecco
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
23.12.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
03.09.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-2 HT 1-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
12.03.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
31.10.2021 Lecco Lecco 2-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY Lecco
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Lecco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Verona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 57% of the ball to Lecco's 43%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Lecco?

Virtus Verona 1-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 42%, draw 29%, Lecco 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Verona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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