Austin 2-1 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.48
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.49
X/2
8%
8.16
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
11%
23.4
2/2
15%
6.23
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
2-1
AWAY San Diego
2.15 xG 1.11
24% Ball Possession 76%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
170 Passes 677
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin nicked a narrow win over San Diego 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Austin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Austin had 24% of the ball to San Diego's 76%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 2.15 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Austin vs San Diego?

Austin 2-1 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Austin 40%, draw 28%, San Diego 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
23 Mar 2025
02:30 Charlotte vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs St. Louis City Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Analysis →
03:30 Nashville SC vs CF Montreal Analysis →