Slovenya 1-0 Slovakya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

Slovenya
1-0 HT 0-0
Slovakya
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Slovenya vs Slovakya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.77
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.77
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
10%
4.96
X/2
16%
6.11
X/X
13%
3.11
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
19%
5.17
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.6pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.4pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slovenya v Slovakya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovenya EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovakya EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Slovenya vs Slovakya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovenya
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Slovakya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.58 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
316 Passes 484
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2025 Slovakya Slovakya 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya AVUL
11.11.2021 Slovakya Slovakya 2-2 HT 0-1 Slovenya Slovenya DKE
01.09.2021 Slovenya Slovenya 1-1 HT 1-1 Slovakya Slovakya DKE
01.09.2017 Slovakya Slovakya 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya DKE
08.10.2016 Slovenya Slovenya 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya DKE
10.10.2009 Slovakya Slovakya 0-2 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya DKE

Slovenya 1-0 Slovakya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovenya
1-0
AWAY Slovakya
1.97 xG 2.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
408 Passes 600
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovenya vs Slovakya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya nicked a narrow win over Slovakya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Slovenya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slovenya had 42% of the ball to Slovakya's 58%, shots finished 20-24, expected goals 1.97 to 2.49 — on chances, Slovakya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovenya had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovenya and 0.67 for Slovakya.

What was the final score of Slovenya vs Slovakya?

Slovenya 1-0 Slovakya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovenya vs Slovakya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slovenya 35%, draw 27%, Slovakya 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slovakya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovakya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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