Belçika 3-0 Ukrayna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
9%
12.8
X/X
11%
5.85
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
7%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 18%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.13/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/3.09
+150% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -53%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
19.6 Crosses 5.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 1.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
468 Passes 329
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.03.2025 Ukrayna Ukrayna 3-1 HT 0-1 Belçika Belçika AVUL
26.06.2024 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika
3-0
AWAY Ukrayna
2.65 xG 0.64
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
494 Passes 172
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Belçika vs Ukrayna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika cruised past Ukrayna 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Belçika had 69% of the ball to Ukrayna's 31%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.65 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ukrayna led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Belçika and 1.50 for Ukrayna.

What was the final score of Belçika vs Ukrayna?

Belçika 3-0 Ukrayna in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika vs Ukrayna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Belçika 55%, draw 23%, Ukrayna 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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