Sırbistan 2-0 Avusturya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
6%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.18
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1 EV+ ✓
18%
5.71
X/2
10%
5.43
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.87
2/X
4%
13.3
Value flag · X/1 at 5.71 — our 18% vs market 13.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya EU Bookmakers 39%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.95/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.94
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
30.8 Crosses 14.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avusturya
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
275 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
20.03.2025 Avusturya Avusturya 1-1 HT 1-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan AVUL
04.06.2024 Avusturya Avusturya 2-1 HT 2-1 Sırbistan Sırbistan HAZ
06.10.2017 Avusturya Avusturya 3-2 HT 1-1 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
09.10.2016 Sırbistan Sırbistan 3-2 HT 2-1 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
06.06.2009 Sırbistan Sırbistan 1-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
15.10.2008 Avusturya Avusturya 1-3 HT 0-3 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
2-0
AWAY Avusturya
1.34 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
240 Passes 504
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs Avusturya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan saw off Avusturya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sırbistan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sırbistan had 35% of the ball to Avusturya's 65%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sırbistan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sırbistan and 1.50 for Avusturya.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs Avusturya?

Sırbistan 2-0 Avusturya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs Avusturya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 40%, draw 25%, Avusturya 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sırbistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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