İzlanda 1-3 Kosova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

İzlanda
1-3 HT 1-2
Kosova
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

İzlanda vs Kosova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 35% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.7
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.48
X/2
20%
5.79
X/X
20%
4.32
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
9%
4.02
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İzlanda v Kosova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+84% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

İzlanda vs Kosova Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kosova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.03.2025 Kosova Kosova 2-1 HT 1-1 İzlanda İzlanda AVUL
09.10.2017 İzlanda İzlanda 2-0 HT 1-0 Kosova Kosova DKE
24.03.2017 Kosova Kosova 1-2 HT 0-2 İzlanda İzlanda DKE

İzlanda 1-3 Kosova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda
1-3
AWAY Kosova
0.40 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
389 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İzlanda vs Kosova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova beat İzlanda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Kosova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İzlanda had 56% of the ball to Kosova's 44%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.40 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İzlanda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İzlanda and 1.00 for Kosova.

What was the final score of İzlanda vs Kosova?

İzlanda 1-3 Kosova in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda vs Kosova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kosova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İzlanda 32%, draw 31%, Kosova 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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