Macaristan 0-3 Türkiye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

Macaristan
0-3 HT 0-2
Türkiye
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Macaristan vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
15%
6.44
X/X
12%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.85
2/2
13%
4.39
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macaristan v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 7.0
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Macaristan vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Türkiye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2025 Türkiye Türkiye 3-1 HT 1-1 Macaristan Macaristan AVUL
22.03.2024 Macaristan Macaristan 1-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye HAZTUR
18.11.2020 Macaristan Macaristan 2-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye AVUL
03.09.2020 Türkiye Türkiye 0-1 HT 0-0 Macaristan Macaristan AVUL
26.03.2013 Türkiye Türkiye 1-1 HT 0-0 Macaristan Macaristan DKE
16.10.2012 Macaristan Macaristan 3-1 HT 1-1 Türkiye Türkiye DKE

Macaristan 0-3 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan
0-3
AWAY Türkiye
1.73 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
425 Passes 341
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macaristan vs Türkiye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye swept aside Macaristan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Türkiye made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan had 55% of the ball to Türkiye's 45%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.73 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macaristan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Macaristan and 0.83 for Türkiye.

What was the final score of Macaristan vs Türkiye?

Macaristan 0-3 Türkiye in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan vs Türkiye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Macaristan 40%, draw 23%, Türkiye 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Macaristan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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