FC Juarez 2-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.82
Over
55%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.72
No
41%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.05
2-3
37%
1.72
4-5
27%
3.43
6+
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME FC Juarez The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL The Market 48%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.36 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.40
1.24 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.97
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.7 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.61 xG 1.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
276 Passes 450
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
26.02.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
23.09.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.02.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
09.07.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.02.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.96 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
347 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Juarez edged past Tigres UANL 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

From a near-even 34% / 27% / 39% read, it was FC Juarez who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: FC Juarez had 58% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 42%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.96 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Juarez and 0.67 for Tigres UANL.

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score

FC Juarez 2-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 34%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
23 Mar 2026
02:00 Pachuca vs Toluca Analysis →
02:00 Santos Laguna vs Puebla Analysis →