Pineto 2-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.6
Over
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.43
2-3
44%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.5
6+
7%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.18/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.80
+11% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
08.12.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4-1 HT 2-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
14.01.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
08.09.2023 Pineto Pineto 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
2-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto and Virtus Entella shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 56% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 44%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pineto and 1.33 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Virtus Entella?

Pineto 2-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pineto 25%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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